Senior GOP official: Texas could go to Democrats in 2020 election based on current data
A senior state GOP member just told MSNBC's Chis Hayes that the 2020 presidential election is a toss-up in the state.
"I don't think he was bs-ing," said Chris. "It's time for the GOP to start fully freaking out about Texas."
The rep wanted to go unnamed, apparently, because Chris decided not to name him. And, on that, we don't blame him. If a member of the Republican Party admitted this before an election, his own party would disown him.
If the report is true, based on underlying data, the Republican Party is in for a world of hurt. Texas is a major cornerstone to any national election for the party. They simply can't afford to lose it and maintain a clear path to victory. Beto O'Rourke almost defeated Senator Ted Cruz, so it's really not that surprising. Many experts predict that eventually Texas will flip, just based on demographics alone.
Right now Texas has 38 Electoral College votes that go to the state's popular vote winner. If just one more vote goes towards a Democrat, Democrats can pick up all the Electoral votes.
Here's an interesting fact: If Hillary Clinton picked up Texas in the 2016 election, both she and Donald Trump wouldn't have hit the 270 electoral votes needed to win. In that scenario, which could still happen in 2020, the House of Representatives would elect the next president. Guess who owns the House right now? Democrats.
Some more good news: Republicans are largely abandoning ship in Texas and choosing not to run. Just today, Rep. Will Hurd said he would choose not to seek re-election. His retirement is the third Texas Republican in the past week and the ninth by a party incumbent. If the GOP wants to regain control of the House, it's not looking too pretty already.